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  • Title
  • CERTIFICATE
  • DECLARATION
  • ABSTRACT
  • Preface
  • ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
  • CONTENTS
  • List of symbols/notations used and their descriptions
  • List of Tables
  • List of Figures
  • 1 Introduction
  • 1.1 Historical perspectives
  • Fig.1.1. Main natural rubber producing countries of the world
  • Table 1.1. Area under natural rubber in the main producing countries (‘000 hectares)
  • Table 1.2. Production of natural rubber in the main producing countries during 2004 (‘000 tonnes)
  • Table 1.3. Productivity of natural rubber in the main producing countries during 2004 (kg ha-1)
  • 1.2 Indian scenario
  • Table 1.4. State-wise total area and production of natural rubber in India during 2003-04
  • 1.3 Importance of growth measurements
  • 1.4 Weather and Hevea trees
  • 1.5 Problem statement
  • 1.6 Objectives of the study
  • 2 Review of Literature
  • 3 Materials and Methods
  • 3.1 Study locations and their site features
  • 3.2 Planting material and experimental layout
  • Table 3.1. Geographical, weather and soil characteristics of the study location
  • Table 3.2. Basic details of the clones planted in the trials at the study locations
  • 3.3 Field planting and crop management
  • 3.4 Measurement of tree growth
  • 3.5 Errors in girth measurements
  • 3.6 Time scale of girth measurements
  • 3.7 Period of data collection
  • 3.8 Delimitation of annual period into seasons
  • 3.9 Growth analysis parameters
  • 3.10 Expression of relative growth rate
  • 3.11 Monthly growth pattern and culmination girth increments
  • 3.12 Seasonal trends in absolute and relative growth rate
  • 3.13 Annual growth pattern
  • 3.14 Tree growth and assessment of maturity
  • 3.15 Clustering of clones based on growth parameters
  • 3.16 Influence of weather factors on growth
  • 3.17 Modelling immature growth and inclusion of weather factors into growth functioins
  • 3.17.1 Overall modelling approach
  • 3.17.2 Growth functions used
  • 3.17.3 Incorporating seasonal growth pattern into growth functions
  • 3.17.4 Developing modifier functions to incorporate seasonal influence of weather factors into growth functions
  • Fig.3.1. Relationship curves of modifier functions for afternoon relative humidity (a), vapour pressure deficit (b)and rainfall (c) .
  • 3.17.5 Incorporating modifier functions of weather factors into growth functions and modelling tree growth development
  • 3.17.6 Fitting of functions
  • 3.18 Weather data and statistical analysis
  • 4 Results
  • 4.1 Weather at the study locations
  • Table 4.1. Monthly pattern of rainfall (mm) at L1
  • Table 4.2. Average meteorological conditions and their statistical features at L1 during the study period
  • Table 4.3. Water balance conditions at L1 (based on the data of 1989 to 1996) *
  • Fig.4.1. Climatic water balance of L1
  • Table 4.4. Monthly pattern of rainfall (mm) at L2
  • Table 4.5. Average meteorological conditions and their statistical features at L2 during the study period
  • Table 4.6. Water balance conditions at L2 (based on the data of 1991 to 1996)
  • Fig. 4.2. Climatic water balance of L2
  • 4.2 Growth analysis
  • 4.2.1 Monthly growth patterns and culmination increments
  • Fig. 4.3. Monthly girth increment variations in clones at L1 during the immaturity period in 1989-90 (0), 1990-91 (●), 1991-92 (□) and 1992-93 (■)
  • Fig.4.4. Monthly girth increment variations in clones at L2T1 during the immaturity period in 1993-94 (○), 1994-95 (●), 1995-96 (□) and 1996-97 (■)
  • Fig.4.5. Monthly girth increment variations in clones at L2T2 during the immaturity period in 1993-94 (○), 1994-95 (●), 1995-96 (□) and 1996-97 (■)
  • 4.2.2 Seasonal variations in growth and its rate
  • Fig. 4.6. Mean (○) and generalized (smooth curve) girth increment curves of Hevea at L1 (a), L2T1 (b) and L2T2 (c)
  • Table 4.7. Culmination girth increments (cm) in L1 clones at different ages during immature phase
  • Table 4.8. Culmination girth increments (cm) in L2 clones at different ages during immature phase
  • Table 4.9. Seasonal changes in mean, minimum and maximum Ig, Rg and coefficient of variation in clones at L1
  • Fig.4.7. Seasonal variations in g R s of the clones at L1 from age 4 to 11 during the immature phase
  • Fig.4.8. Seasonal trend in growth of Hevea trees at L1
  • Table 4.10. Seasonal changes in mean, minimum and maximum g g R, I and coefficient of variation in clones at L2
  • Fig. 4.9. Seasonal variations in g R s of the clones at L2T1 from age 3 to 8 during the immature phase
  • Fig. 4.10. Seasonal variations in Rgs of the clones at L2T2 from age 3 to 8 during the immature phase
  • Fig. 4.11. Seasonal trend in growth of Hevea trees at L2 (a, Trial 1; b, Trial 2)
  • 4.2.3 Annual trends and overall performance
  • Table 4.11. Annual variations in Ig and Rg in clones of Hevea at L1
  • Table.4.12. Annual variations in Ig and Rg in various clones of Hevea at L2
  • Table 4.13. Variations in absolute girth (cm) in March 1991 and 1997, seasonal Ig, seasonal Rg, annual Ig and Rg in various clones of Hevea at L1
  • Table 4.14. Variations in absolute girth (cm) in January 1991 and 1997, seasonal Ig, seasonal Rg, annual Ig and Rg in various clones of Hevea at L2.
  • 4.2.4 Growth performance and immature phase
  • 4.2.5 Clonal groupings based on growth attributes
  • Table 4.15. Proportion of rubber trees attaining tappable girth in the terminal years of immaturity at L1
  • Table 4.16. Proportion of rubber trees attaining tappable girth in the terminal years of immaturity at L2
  • Fig.4.12. UPGMA cluster pattern of clones at L1 based on growth attributes
  • Fig.4.13. UPGMA cluster pattern of clones at L2 based on growth attributes
  • 4.3 Influence of weather factors on growth
  • 4.3.1 Simple correlations
  • Table 4.17. Correlations coefficients between girth increments and weather factors in immature rubber trees at L1.
  • Table 4.18. Correlations coefficients between girth increments and weather factors in immature rubber trees at L2.
  • Fig.4.14. Pooled data scatter plots showing the relationship between weather factors and girth increments of clones at L1.
  • Fig.4.15. Polled data scatter plots showing the relationship between weather factors and girth increments of clones of T1 at L2.
  • Fig.4.16. Pooled data scatter plots showing the relationship between weather factors and girth increments of clones of T2 at L2.
  • 4.3.2 Path analysis results
  • Table 4.19. Results of stepwise regression analysis between weather factors and girth increments in the trial clones at L1.
  • Table 4.20. Results of stepwise regression analysis between weather factors and girth increments in T1 clones at L2.
  • Table 4.21. Results of stepwise regression analysis between weather factors and girth increments in T2 clones at L2.
  • Table 4.22. Pooled data path analysis direct (diagonals) and indirect effects (off diagonals) between weather factors and girth increments in the trial clones at L1.
  • Table 4.23. Pooled data path analysis direct (diagonals) and indirect effects (off diagonals) between weather factors and girth increments in T1 clones at L2
  • Table 4.24. Pooled data path analysis direct (diagonals) and indirect effects (off diagonals) between weather factors and girth increments in T2 clones at L2.
  • 4.3.3 Multiple regressions
  • Table 4.25. Results of multiple regression analysis between weather factors and girth increments in the trial clones at L1.
  • Table 4.26. Results of multiple regression analysis between weather factors and girth increments in T1 clones at L2.
  • Table 4.27. Results of multiple regression analysis between weather factors and girth increments in T2 clones at L2
  • 4.3.4 Stepwise regressions
  • 4.4 Growth modelling without and with weather variables
  • 4.4.1 Growth modelling
  • Table 4.28. Results of stepwise regression analysis between weather factors and girth increments in the trial clones at L1.
  • Table 4.29. Results of stepwise regression analysis between weather factors and girth increments in T1 clones at L2.
  • Table 4.30. Results of stepwise regression analysis between weather actors and girth increments in T2 clones at L2.
  • Table 4.31. Parameter estimates of the fitted functions and residual mean square error (RMSE) of the predicted values
  • Fig.4.17. Plots of observed and predicted values applying the fitted models of Chapman-Richards (a), Weibull (b) and Schumacher (c)
  • 4.4.2 Growth models incorporating seasonal term
  • 4.4.3 Growth models incorporating modifier functions of weather factors
  • Table 4.32. Parameter estimates of the fitted functions including seasonal term in the models and residual mean square error (RMSE) of the predicted values
  • Fig. 4.18. Plots of observed and predicted values applying the fitted models of Chapman-Richards (a), Weibull (b) and Schumacher (c) including seasonal term
  • Table 4.33. Parameter estimates of the fitted models including modifier functions of RH2, VPD and RF with common slopes and intercepts for both site
  • Fig.4.19 Plots of observed and predicted values of the fitted models of Chapman-Richards (a), Weibull (b) and Schumacher (c) including modifier function of RH2 with common slopes and intercepts for both sites
  • Fig.4.20. Plots of observed and predicted values of the fitted models of Chapman-Richards (a), Weibull (b) and Schumacher (c) including modifier function of VPD with common slopes and intercepts for both sites.
  • Fig.4.21. Plots of observed and predicted values of the fitted models of Chapman-Richards (a), Weibull (b) and Schumacher (c) including modifier function of RF with common slopes and intercepts for both sites.
  • Table 4.34. Parameter estimates of the fitted models including modifier function of RH2, VPD and RF with separate slopes and intercept for each site
  • Fig.4.22. Plots of observed and predicted values of the fitted models of Chapman-Richards (a), Weibull (b) and Schumacher (c) including modifier function of RH2 with separate slopes and intercepts for each site
  • Fig.4.23. Plots of observed and predicted values of the fitted models of Chapman-Richards (a), Weibull (b) and Schumacher (c) including modifier function of VPD with separate slopes and intercepts for each site
  • Fig.4.24. Plots of observed and predicted values of the fitted models of Chapman-Richards (a), Weibull (b) and Schumacher (c) including modifier function of RF with separate slopes and intercepts for each site
  • 5 Discussions and Conclusions
  • 5.1 Weather conditions
  • 5.2 Growth analysis and immature phase
  • 5.2.1 Monthly growth patterns
  • 5.2.2 Seasonal growth
  • 5.2.3 Annual growth trends, overall performance and immaturity period
  • 5.3 Influence of weather factors
  • 5.4 Growth models and weather factors
  • 5.5 Conclusions
  • References