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TITLE
CERTIFICATE
DECLARATION
CONTENTS
LIST OF TABLES
LIST OF FIGURES
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
1. Introduction
Table.1.1.1 Net state domestic product of Kerala by industry of origin 1980-81 to 1995-96
Table.2.1.2 Gross cropped Area and area under food and non-food crops in Kerala
Table.3.1.3 Index of area, yield and production of food and non-food crops in Kerala
Objectives of the study
Scope of the study
Limitations of the study
Scheme of study
Methodology of the study
SECTION -1
Analysis of Agricultural Supply
SECTION - 2
1. Selection of Crops
2. Trend Analysis
2.1 Decomposition
2.2 Growth Rates
2.3 Fluctuations in Area, Yield and Production.
3. Supply Response
Area and Yield Responses
Choice of Variables
Price Expectation
Preceeding years Yield of the Crop
Rainfall
Risk Factor
Time Trend
Price Elasticity
Speed of Adjustment
Statistical Problems in Estimation
a. Multicollinearity
Auto-correlation
2. Review of Literature
2.1 Trends in Area, Production and Yield
2.2 Decomposition Analysis
2.3 Supply Response Studies
2.3.1 Methodological Issues
2.3.2. Supply Response Behaviour
3. Supply Response Models - A Theoretical Framework
Supply Response Functions
Types of Supply Response
Responsiveness of Annual Crops
(i) Simple Koyck Distribution Lag Model/simple Aerlovian Expectationsmodel
Table 3.1 Elasticity of supply with respect to expected price for cotton, wheat and maize: 1909-32
(ii) Complex Neriovian Expectations Model
(iii) Koyck Second Order Lag Function.
Table 3.2 Adjustment co-efficient, average lag and short-run and long run elasticity for wheat: 1900-39
(iv) Nerlovian Adjustment Model
(v) Expectations - Adjustment Model.
(vi) Simple Model
RESPONSIVENESS OF PERENNIAL CROPS
(i) The Bateman Model
(ii) The Ady Equation
(iii) The Behrman Equation
4. Agriculture Development in Kerala
4.1 General description
4.2 Physiography
4.2.1 High Ranges (750m above MSL)
4.2.2 Highland (75-750m above MSL)
4.2.3 Midland (7.5-75m above MSL)
4.2.4 Lowland (upto 7.5 m above MSL)
4.3 Climate
4.4 Agro-climatic Zones
4.5 Rainfall
4.6 Irrigation
4.7 Land Utilisation Pattern: 1960-61 To 1995-96
Table 4.1 Land use pattern in Kerala
4.8 Land Holding Pattern
4.9 Cropping Pattern
Table 4.2 Gross cropped area under major crops in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96
4.10 Production and Productivity of Crops
Table 4.3 Production of major crops in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96
Table 4.4 Productivity of major crops in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96
Fig. 4.1 Land use pattern in Kerala: 1960-61
Fig. 4.2 Land use pattern in Kerala: 1975-76
Fig. 4.3 Land use pattern in Kerala: 1990-91
Fig. 4.4 Land use pattern in Kerala: 1995-96
5. Supply Response of Paddy in Kerala,
5.1 Inter district Analysis of Area, Yield and Production of Paddy in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96
Table 5.1 District-wise percentage share of area to total area under paddy in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96
Table 5.2 District-wise percentage changes in area under paddy in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96
Table 5.3 Changes in Area under paddy since 1990 in Kerala
Table 5.4 District-wise percentage share of production to total production of paddy in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96
Table 5.5 Percentage share of production of paddy in Kerala since 1990
Table 5.6 Changes in the production of paddy in Kerala since 1990
Table 5.7 District-wise changes in Average yield of paddy in Kerala 1960-61 to 1955-56
Table 5.8 Season-wise share of area under paddy in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96
Table 5.9 Season wise share of production to total production of paddy in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96
Table 5.10 Season-wise average yield of paddy in Kerala: 1960-61 59 1995-96
Table 5.11 Indices of Area, yield and production and percentage contribution of area and yield towards the changes in production of paddy in Kerala
5.2 Trend Analysis
5.3 Growth Rates
Table 5.12 Estimated trend equations for area, yield and production of paddy
Table 5.13 Coefficient of variation of area, yield and production of paddy
5.4 Supply Response of Paddy in Kerala
5.4.1 Estimates of area response of paddy in Kerah 1960-61 to 1974-75 and1975-76 to 1995-96
Table 5.14 Area response functions for paddy (1960-61 to 1974-75): Kerala state
Table 5.15 Area response functions for paddy 1 (1974-75 to 1995-96): Kerala state
5.4.2 Estimates of yield response of paddy in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1974-75and 1975-76 to 1995-96
Table 5.16 Yield response functions for paddy (1960-61 to 1974-75) Kerala state
Table 5.17 Yield response functions for paddy (1975-76 to 1995-96): Kerala state
Fig. 5.1 Area, yield and production of paddy in Kerala
6. Supply Response of Coconut in Kerala
Table 6.1 Area, yield and production of coconut in Kerala in India
6.1 Inter-district Analysis of Area, Yield and Production of Coconut inKerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96.
Table 6.2 District-wise area under coconut in Kerala: 1960-61 1995-96
Table 6.3 District-wise percentage changes in area under coconut in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96
Table 6.4 Changes in area under coconut in Kerala since 1990-91
Table 6.5 Area under coconut in Kerala: 1995-96
Table 6.6 District-wise production of coconut in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96
Table 6.7 District-wise percentage changes in production of coconut in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96
Table 6.8 District-wise average yield of coconut in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96
Table 6.9 Yield of coconut in different districts of Kerala: 1995-96
Table 6.10 Changes in yield in. different districts of Kerala since 1990-91
6.2 Trend Analysis
Table 6.11 Indices of area, yield and production and percentage contributions of area and yield towards the changes in production of coconut in Kerala
6.3 Growth rates
Table 6.12 Estimated Trend equations of area, yield and production of coconut in Kerala
6.4 Fluctuations in area, Yield and production
Table 6.13 Co-efficient of variation of area, yield and production of coconut in Kerala
6.5 Supply Response of Coconut In Kerala
6.5.1 Area Response of Coconut During 1960-61 to 1974-75 and 1976-76 to 1995-96
Table 6.14 Area response functions for coconut (1960-61 to 1974-75): Kerala state
Table 6.15 Area response functions for coconut (1975-76 to 1995-96) Kerala state
6.5.2 The Yield Response of Coconut in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1974-75 and 1975-76 to 1995-96.
Table 6.16 Yield response functions for coconut (1.960-61 to 1974-75) Kerala state
Table 6.17 Yield response functions for coconut (1975-76 to 1995-96): Kerala state
Fig. 6.2 Area, yield and production of coconut in Kerala
7. Supply Response of Rubber in Kerala
Table 7.1 Area under rubber in main producing countries
Table 7.2 State-wise area under rubber at the end of each year
Table 7.3 Production of natural rubber in producing countries
Table 7.4 Production of rubber in different states in India
7.1 District-Witre Analysis of Area, Yield and Production of Rubber inKerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96.
Table 7.5 Distict-wise area under rubber in Kerala 1960-61 to 1995-96
Table 7.6 District wise percentage changes in area under rubber in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96.
Table 7.7 Changes in area under rubber since 1990-91 in Kerala
Table 7.8 District-wise production of rubber in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96
Table 7.9 District wise percentage changes in production of rubber in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96.
Table 7.10 Changes in production of rubber in Kerala since 1990-91
Table 7.11 District wise average yield of rubber in Kerala: 1960-61 to 1995-96
7.2 Trend Anallysis.
Table 7.12 Indices of area, yield and production and percentage contribution of area and yield towards the changes in production of rubber in Kerala.
7.3 Growth Rates
Table 7.13 Estimated trend equations of area, yield and production of rubber in Kerala.
7.4 Supply Res; ponse of Rubber in Kerala
7.4.1 Short-Term Yield Response of Rubber in Kerala During 1960-61 to 1974-75 and 1975-76 to 1995-96.
Table 7.14 Estimated short-run response of rubber in Kerala
7.4.2. Long-Term Yield Response of Rubber in Kerala During 1960-61 to 1974-75 and 1975-76 to 1995-96.
Table 7.15 Estimated long-run yield response of rubber in Kerala
7.4.3 Long-Run Planted Area Response of Rubber in Kerala.
Table 7.16 Estimated long run planted area response rubber in Kerala
8. Summary And Conclusions
BIBLIOGRAPHY